Pre-tourney Rankings
Central Florida
American Athletic
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#148
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#158
Pace70.8#100
Improvement+0.5#156

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#127
Improvement+1.5#102

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#184
Improvement-0.9#227
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2013 43   Florida St. L 68-80 27%     0 - 1 -4.3 -9.5 +6.7
  Nov 17, 2013 333   Bethune-Cookman W 83-63 94%     1 - 1 +4.2 +0.4 +3.5
  Nov 21, 2013 73   @ Miami (FL) W 63-58 21%     2 - 1 +14.9 -3.9 +18.9
  Nov 26, 2013 160   @ Valparaiso L 70-85 43%     2 - 2 -11.8 +2.7 -15.1
  Dec 03, 2013 239   @ Florida Atlantic L 64-75 61%     2 - 3 -12.5 -11.9 -0.1
  Dec 07, 2013 337   Stetson W 77-58 94%     3 - 3 +2.7 -1.5 +4.8
  Dec 11, 2013 332   Howard W 79-64 94%     4 - 3 -0.8 +3.2 -4.1
  Dec 17, 2013 308   Jacksonville W 104-64 90%     5 - 3 +27.6 +20.1 +7.1
  Dec 22, 2013 160   Valparaiso W 90-62 64%     6 - 3 +25.6 +15.6 +9.5
  Dec 31, 2013 1   Louisville L 65-90 6%     6 - 4 0 - 1 -5.4 +1.1 -6.0
  Jan 04, 2014 146   Temple W 78-76 60%     7 - 4 1 - 1 +0.7 -0.2 +0.9
  Jan 11, 2014 25   @ Connecticut L 61-84 9%     7 - 5 1 - 2 -6.8 -3.6 -2.4
  Jan 15, 2014 166   @ Rutgers L 75-85 44%     7 - 6 1 - 3 -7.1 -2.1 -4.4
  Jan 18, 2014 32   SMU L 46-58 24%     7 - 7 1 - 4 -3.0 -16.5 +12.5
  Jan 23, 2014 26   @ Cincinnati L 51-69 9%     7 - 8 1 - 5 -1.9 -4.6 +0.8
  Jan 29, 2014 36   Memphis L 59-69 25%     7 - 9 1 - 6 -1.7 -3.9 +1.3
  Feb 01, 2014 1   @ Louisville L 70-87 2%     7 - 10 1 - 7 +8.2 +9.7 -1.4
  Feb 05, 2014 177   South Florida L 78-79 OT 69%     7 - 11 1 - 8 -4.7 +8.3 -13.1
  Feb 09, 2014 25   Connecticut L 55-75 19%     7 - 12 1 - 9 -9.4 -8.8 -1.0
  Feb 12, 2014 36   @ Memphis L 70-76 13%     7 - 13 1 - 10 +7.9 +7.1 +0.6
  Feb 15, 2014 177   @ South Florida W 75-74 48%     8 - 13 2 - 10 +2.9 +11.1 -8.1
  Feb 19, 2014 26   Cincinnati L 49-77 19%     8 - 14 2 - 11 -17.5 -10.6 -9.3
  Feb 22, 2014 127   @ Houston L 84-88 34%     8 - 15 2 - 12 +1.5 +5.8 -4.0
  Feb 26, 2014 166   Rutgers W 67-65 65%     9 - 15 3 - 12 -0.7 -10.3 +9.5
  Mar 01, 2014 32   @ SMU L 55-70 11%     9 - 16 3 - 13 -0.5 -6.3 +5.2
  Mar 04, 2014 146   @ Temple L 78-86 OT 39%     9 - 17 3 - 14 -3.7 +1.9 -5.3
  Mar 07, 2014 127   Houston W 104-83 56%     10 - 17 4 - 14 +20.9 +20.5 -1.1
  Mar 12, 2014 146   Temple W 94-90 2OT 49%     11 - 17 +5.5 -0.9 +5.6
  Mar 13, 2014 26   Cincinnati L 58-61 13%     11 - 18 +10.3 +0.5 +9.5
Projected Record 11.0 - 18.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%